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The full ledger, what it really costs

There is no single official cost of immigration.

'What does immigration really cost?' There is no single official number, anyone who gives you one is guessing. Here's the honest ledger, both sides. (The £4.9bn you hear quoted is the asylum system alone.)

'Total cost of all immigration' No official figure
The quoted £4.9bn covers Asylum only
Identifiable contributions / year >£6bn
Higher migration → borrowing ≈£20bn lower
The evidence

8 figures, each with its official source.

No, any single figure is a model, not a count
Is there an official 'total cost of all immigration'?

To produce one you must net migrants' use of every public service against the income tax, NI, VAT, visa fees and NHS surcharge they pay, and the answer flips sign by route. No official body publishes a single total.

The asylum system alone, not all immigration
What the famous £4.9bn actually covers

Housing, cash support and processing for ~100,000 people awaiting a decision, under 1% of the UK's ~10.6m foreign-born residents. It is the visible, badly-run slice, not the whole cost.

>£6bn/yr
Identifiable migrant contributions

≈£3.0bn visa/immigration fees + ~£2.4bn NHS surcharge + ~£0.6bn Immigration Skills Charge, before income tax, NI and VAT, which aren't recorded by nationality and so can only be modelled.

≈£20bn lower borrowing
Whole-economy net effect (OBR)

Higher net migration lowers government borrowing because migrants are overwhelmingly working-age taxpayers. A scenario, not a promise; lower migration worsens the finances symmetrically.

Office for Budget Responsibilityby 2028-29 (OBR scenario)
+£689k to −£141k
But it depends who comes

Skilled worker +£689k · family −£109k · low-wage & humanitarian negative Lifetime net present values by route. The average across all routes sits far below the skilled-worker figure, which is the whole point: it is not one number.

≈10.6m (16%)
Foreign-born residents

About 1 in 6. Includes millions of naturalised British citizens and long-settled residents, presence, not an annual cost.

40.6%
London foreign-born share

Why cities feel saturated while the national picture (16%) and the cost question are different things. Migration concentrates in cities.

ONS: Census 2021Census 2021
A large share, born abroad
Migrants staff the services too

A large share of NHS, care, hospitality & construction workers were born abroad Migrants fund and run public services as well as use them, the point a costs-only ledger erases. Exact shares vary by sector; see the Migration Observatory overview.